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I don’t find just Tony Seba believable, I find his conclusions inevitable. While I am sceptical on driverless cars, it’s because of human nature not because of doubts about the technology. When you add the variables of the efficiency of electric motors, the possibilities of software for improving how we drive and the virtually endless … Continue reading “100% electric transportation and 100% solar by 2030”
I don’t find just Tony Seba believable, I find his conclusions inevitable. While I am sceptical on driverless cars, it’s because of human nature not because of doubts about the technology.
When you add the variables of the efficiency of electric motors, the possibilities of software for improving how we drive and the virtually endless resources of renewable energies, the result is plain.
This is why I’m starting a new thing. This.
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I haven’t had time to watch the video yet, but am sceptical. If Tony addresses battery costs, degradation, and the inevitable costs renewable providers will have to face in covering downtime and output instability, that might change my outlook. However, that would also change the 100% solar/electric paradigm he’s trying to push.
Hi Eamon,
You should probably watch it but the highlights are:
For the last 15 years, batteries have been dropping in price 14% per year apart from the last couple which have dropped even faster and that was before Tesla opened their Battery Gigafactory (and before his competition opens theirs).
Renewables are dropping in price while fossil fuels are increasing in price and renewables are more evenly spread than fossil fuels.
If Tesla can offer an 8-year, infinite mile warranty on the Tesla, it gives you an idea on the wear and tear issue.
The problem being that electric cars are currently 2x the price of a ICE car. The sticker shock means people can be easily swayed by range anxiety. If you remove that sticker shock, you remove most of the objections to range.
And, of course, I have a plan.