Get Smart

Rob Evans muses about how Buying an iPhone might actually be good for Nokia. Now that’s great for Nokia in the long run as Norm has taken his first steps into smartphone land with the iPhone, he’s realized that he needs his phone to do a little more than just voice and text. Now what … Continue reading “Get Smart”

Rob Evans muses about how Buying an iPhone might actually be good for Nokia.

Now that’s great for Nokia in the long run as Norm has taken his first steps into smartphone land with the iPhone, he’s realized that he needs his phone to do a little more than just voice and text. Now what I’m thinking here is what a lot of people will do is take those first steps into smart phone land and realize that they can do so much more with a smart phone than they imagined and that they’ll hit the limits of the Phone but not of their smartphone curiosity and step up (ahem) to a Nokia smartphone.

I agree with Rob in that the iPhone will be a gateway drug for users doing a bit more than just voice and text but I don’t think it follows that someone who buys an iPhone will consider something else later. My reasoning for this is simple.

My other half was offered an upgrade from a nasty basic Nokia flip phone to a tidy Nokia e65 slider. I helped her set up email and she was happy enough to work with it for nearly a year. Shortly after she upgraded to an iPhone and really enjoyed the integration with the internet. No problem. It proves that non-geek users really appreciate email and web at their fingertips.

What changes the game is that she tried to switch to a HTC Touch Diamond (as I documented before) and couldn’t. It’s not the fact that the Bluetooth is … broken. Or that it can’t do MMS. It’s that it’s fast, responsive and has a better UI experience than anything else out there.

Some people will realise they really want a smartphone when they see other people emailing, surfing and tweeting over the air. But it’s only good for Nokia or SonyEricsson if they don’t buy an iPhone first.

1 million handsets? Big Deal.

Carlo Longino takes some issue with Apple’s recent PR trumpeting 1 million handsets sold in a weekend: “Just to let reality back in for a second: – Total Q1 handset sales: 282 million (from Strategy Analytics) – Nokia Q1 sales: 115.5 million (from Nokia PR), or roughly 1.28 million per day” I don’t think it’s … Continue reading “1 million handsets? Big Deal.”

Carlo Longino takes some issue with Apple’s recent PR trumpeting 1 million handsets sold in a weekend:

“Just to let reality back in for a second:
– Total Q1 handset sales: 282 million (from Strategy Analytics)
– Nokia Q1 sales: 115.5 million (from Nokia PR), or roughly 1.28 million per day”

I don’t think it’s fair to compare the iPhone to, for example, to the non-smartphone that I rented from O2 when my iPhone went in for repair.

We know the handset industry is going to be about 1 Billion this year. We also know that around 10% of these are smartphones which puts that market for 2008 to 100 million. Apple already has 6 million first generation iPhones out there and last weekend they just sold another million. Suddenly the comparison of a billion to a hundred million becomes relevant.

To be honest, with Nokia in such disarray with Symbian, Maemo and their home-grown non-smart phone operating systems and with RIM, HTC and a dozen other companies nipping at their smartphone marketshare, it is something that Nokia needs to take into account.

I know this. Nokia knows this. And yes, losing 1% of your market is just the start of it. As I said earlier today in “Save Your Business”, Nokia would be stupid to ignore changes in their marketplace.