Snake Oil

UK Government Has Given £1.76 Billion To Fossil Fuel Industries Abroad Since 2010 http://t.co/AigjSdXggp — Transport community (@transportktn) January 12, 2015 On a related note — a recent report from the Overseas Development Institute found that the UK is currently providing ~£1.2 billion annually in support of exploration work for oil, coal, and gas. Some … Continue reading “Snake Oil”

On a related note — a recent report from the Overseas Development Institute found that the UK is currently providing ~£1.2 billion annually in support of exploration work for oil, coal, and gas. Some of this support is via national subsidies (tax breaks, etc), and around “£425 million per year in public finance for overseas exploration including in Siberia in Russia, Brazil, India, and Indonesia.”

The amount of money invested in Sustainable Energy / Renewables is a mere fraction of these numbers. If we did invest at this level, it’s likely we’d lose our utter dependence on fossil fuels within the decade.

And we are currently utterly dependent. It’s this paranoid dependence that forces us to support regimes across the world that are alien to the values we hold dear. It’s this dependence that forces us to intervene in conflicts across the globe in areas where the oil is plentiful (and where regulations on emissions and effluent are much more lax).

Our energy insecurity is such that we cannot look after ourselves. It’s also at the point where fuel poverty is a thing – defined as households which spend more than 10% of income on keeping warm. Even in the “gold coast” of North Down, fuel poverty affects around 40% of households. Between 2006 and 2011, Belfast was the only region of Northern Ireland to see a decrease in fuel poverty levels.

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The council area formerly known as North Down and Ards (which may be known as East Coast Borough Council or may not) is spending £1 million of ratepayers money on a gun club during the worst recession and public sector cuts regime we’ve ever experienced. The gun club, founded to commemorate the Ulster Special Constabulary (known as the B-Specials to some and as a government-backed murder squad to others) is taking this money with the blessing of all councillors. With that money, we could install over 200 domestic solar photovoltaic systems in the borough. We could install massive PV systems on public buildings and offset huge energy costs. We could also migrate public sector vehicles to electric models and make further savings – not to mention the benefits to the environment.

Pains me to say it…

I’ve always tried my best. When I was setting up QCON, I ignored the advice of naysayers. Similarly when I was writing RPGs for Crucible Design; some said it couldn’t be done. It was the same when I brought the Star Trek Megagame to QCON; it’s not possible. But it was. I sacrificed a lot … Continue reading “Pains me to say it…”

I’ve always tried my best. When I was setting up QCON, I ignored the advice of naysayers. Similarly when I was writing RPGs for Crucible Design; some said it couldn’t be done. It was the same when I brought the Star Trek Megagame to QCON; it’s not possible. But it was.

I sacrificed a lot to achieve things – lost things along the way. It was the same when I set up MACSys – I remember being advised by a (now) director of InvestNI not to start because his company was going to crush us. They didn’t. Not by a long shot.

There are things that didn’t work. A sustainable accelerator/incubator for instance; mostly because I was unwilling to mortgage the startups of NI for pennies to a peppery developer who didn’t value startups at all. But I guess it was also my fault; maybe I just wasn’t the right guy to run it. Too grumpy, too suspicious, too pessimistic and definitely not naive enough.

But what about tomorrow. Tomorrow is another day.

Disruption in 3 stages

(Copyright Shai Agassi, care of TED) Unlike oil, electric-based miles will follow Moore’s Law. With oil, we are subject to the uncertainties of the market, to the potential disruptions caused by unrest, the action of cartels and the varying taxation of governments. The idea that energy is actually abundant is revolutionary. Our entire economy is … Continue reading “Disruption in 3 stages”


(Copyright Shai Agassi, care of TED)

Unlike oil, electric-based miles will follow Moore’s Law. With oil, we are subject to the uncertainties of the market, to the potential disruptions caused by unrest, the action of cartels and the varying taxation of governments.

The idea that energy is actually abundant is revolutionary. Our entire economy is based on energy-scarcity; we use it to power our gadgets, move around in cars, gather, clean and cook our food, light our nights and hear our homes. The idea of abundant energy is disruptive and we can take control.

Disruption in three stages.

  1. Efficiency – take control of your environment. Stop lighting rooms that are unoccupied. I’ve considered just throwing the master switch on the junction box as the last thing I do before bed. It’s an extreme but it’s not unreasonable. And upgrade your light bulbs and your computers to take advantages of new lower power technology.

  2. Renewables – get on the bandwagon. Start with micro generation and work on growing it. If you’re not in a sunny area, put up a wind turbine. See if your external lights can be powered by the wind alone.

  3. Software – we can do some magnificent things with software. Maybe we can use it to turn off lights or power down plasma screens or even to just boil exactly the amount of water we need for a cuppa.

The Mirage of Economic Prosperity and the Bitter Generation

Malachi O’Doherty isn’t a believer. He’s written a lengthy and repetitive note complaining about the lack of a real economy in Northern Ireland. And if he is reflective of the philosophers in the province then he’s right. “There’s no such thing as the NI economy and we’ll never be self-sufficient financially, such is our reliance … Continue reading “The Mirage of Economic Prosperity and the Bitter Generation”

Malachi O’Doherty isn’t a believer. He’s written a lengthy and repetitive note complaining about the lack of a real economy in Northern Ireland. And if he is reflective of the philosophers in the province then he’s right.

whether-you-think-you-can

“There’s no such thing as the NI economy and we’ll never be self-sufficient financially, such is our reliance on the Exchequer, but attracting more visitors can at least help us to pay our way”

This patronising opener relegates our region to knitting jumpers and mass-producing cultural knickknacks, or as he puts it “little ceramic orangemen”. We’ll all end up driving minivans around the Belfast murals and stopping at a street corner to comment sadly about what might have been without seats packed full of ghoulish tourists.

But smaller nations have prospered. Estonia endured years under the boot of the Soviet Regime and yet now boasts an economy that is not only an economic marvel but a socially and culturally progressive wonder.

The “Northern Ireland doesn’t have an economy” refrain is something I hear from the Nationalists in our midst. It’s part of the whole “Failed State” rhetoric and they do their damnedest to ensure that it remains true. That we maintain a massive welfare bill, that our people are spending their cognitive surplus in identity feuds and not in being productive members of society. And while they are happy to maintain Northern Ireland as an open sore on the British economy, the leads parties of Unionism are equally keen to maintain the status quo – citing that our dependence on the British economy is exactly the reason to stay in it.

Malachi is right that we will not progress while our leadership is wasting its time on identity disputes. We maintain segregated schools, much to the horror of thinking people everywhere who always point to that as the root of the identity issues in Northern Ireland. It’s so obvious and yet why don’t our leaders do something about it?

The Corporation Tax bill was presented yesterday and I have to believe that it will not pass through Parliament (mostly because Labour hates it and there’s not enough time before the election). So I believe the UK government sold us a sop in return for our compliance. But, in this complex negotiation it has to be said that our politicians were also hiding their true card under the table. As if a hasty deadline and economic hardship could force change in Northern Ireland. I don’t believe the Conservatives will deliver on Corporation Tax but then I also don’t believe that our leaders will delivery on peace, reconciliation, the economy, restoration of education, maintenance of health and everything else they may have committed to. We just have another holding pattern while everyone outside of Northern Ireland waits for the “bitter generation” to just grow old and die. Civilisation, as represented by almost everywhere else, can wait for us to grow up.

I deliberately used Malachi’s desert analogy in the title because of something that people forget about a mirage. A mirage is an image of a far-off place, transported into view via optical refraction of light in the atmosphere. In this case, we can see a mirage of a prosperous economy, we can even see the mirage of a society that is finally happy with their own identity. But we will never reach that mirage by repeating the mistakes of the last seventeen years.

Polarise People

I wrote: some day people will build cities around this The thing that I loved about the Segway was the thing I loved about the Sinclair C5, the Ford Ka and the New Bus for London. … These are transportation devices that were built for tomorrow. They polarise – you either love them or hate … Continue reading “Polarise People”

I wrote: some day people will build cities around this

The thing that I loved about the Segway was the thing I loved about the Sinclair C5, the Ford Ka and the New Bus for London.

These are transportation devices that were built for tomorrow. They polarise – you either love them or hate them (or ridicule them) but you can barely ignore them. (The New Bus for London was designed and is manufactured here in Northern Ireland by Wrightbus).

I think it’s important to consider what we build and always build for tomorrow. Create things that polarise opinions.

I am reminded of this when I read Om Malik:

“If I make something different, then I don’t really have any competition. Either people like what I do, or they don’t like what I do.” Such a simple statement, but so hard to implement, because many find such comfort from hiding in the herd.

He also includes this quote from Ed Catmull, president of Pixar Animation Studios:

“It’s easier to plan derivative work—things that copy or repeat something already out there. So if your primary goal is to have a fully worked out, set-in-stone plan, you are only upping your chances of being unoriginal.”

Technology versus Fuel

Driving a gasoline/petrol/diesel car is the end result of a very long and very complex process. First of all the sun shines on some plants. They convert about 5% of the energy into carbohydrates which are either left to rot or used as dinosaur food. Every conversion reduces the efficiency further. Luckily, the process of … Continue reading “Technology versus Fuel”

Driving a gasoline/petrol/diesel car is the end result of a very long and very complex process.

First of all the sun shines on some plants. They convert about 5% of the energy into carbohydrates which are either left to rot or used as dinosaur food. Every conversion reduces the efficiency further. Luckily, the process of turning plant matter and dead dinosaur into oil has concentrated the energy by a factor of a gazillion (it takes a lot of dinosaurs and a few million years to make a litre of gasoline). It then needs to be drilled, shipped to a refinery, refined, shipped to a gas station and then put into a car which converts about 70% of the concentrated energy into waste heat. As an added bonus it releases the carbon stores from the carbohydrates into the atmosphere as CO2, which is a greenhouse gas. Which is not good.

Ideally we’d use Solar to replace most of this. Why?

Solar is a technology, not a fuel. It converts solar radiation into electricity with an efficiency of around 30%. It doesn’t require millions of years; it takes about 8.3 minutes for the sun to release radiation to it hitting the solar cell and making electricity. The cells are passive, quiet and last a really, really long time.

Critics of solar have said the energy needed to produce solar panels (and the chemical processes needed) outweigh the environmental impacts of the oil business, though I’m not sure they’re counting the mining, shipping, refining, shipping and burning never mind the effluents.

But it’s hard to measure that. It’s hard to verify the accuracy of that.

I’d rather think of it this way. We like our gadgets and cookers and fridges and cars and televisions. We might want to make sure they will work well in the future. Seems a shame to burn dinosaur bones to run a smartphone especially when its possible to run the thing on free solar radiation.

Fossil fuels are getting more and more expensive. The “Watt-hours per dollar” in stored energy is getting smaller and smaller. We’ll want to keep our hydrocarbons for very specialist uses and not waste them on Instagram.

It’s possible to get solar panels installed in Northern Ireland but most “lease” places won’t touch you if you don’t have a south-facing roof. You can pay for someone else to install them if you don’t have a south-facing roof or you can install them yourself on any old roof.

So, my plan is to learn a lot more about photovoltaics, batteries, inverters, charge controllers and electric motors over the coming months. Let’s see if I can’t at least get our kettle working on 9 minute-old solar energy.

EEVC

Sad to have missed the EEVC conference (click-thru on the image). That’s a frighteningly impressive lot of partners and organisations who are part and parcel of the whole event. I just wish there was any sort of legislative attempt to adopt these types of vehicles in Northern Ireland. Related posts: The Broadband Blueprint (re DETI … Continue reading “EEVC”

eevc-splash

Sad to have missed the EEVC conference (click-thru on the image).

That’s a frighteningly impressive lot of partners and organisations who are part and parcel of the whole event.

I just wish there was any sort of legislative attempt to adopt these types of vehicles in Northern Ireland.

Electric Air

A LinkedIn conversation: http://lnkd.in/bynwF7S For more personal and leisurely travels, helium balloons with solar arrays and electric propulsion and attitude adjustment would seem obvious. I’d like to see the skies filled with vacationing aerial nomads. Personally I’d love to see more LTA craft out there. I’m a fan of sailing and a personal dirigible appeals … Continue reading “Electric Air”

A LinkedIn conversation: http://lnkd.in/bynwF7S

For more personal and leisurely travels, helium balloons with solar arrays and electric propulsion and attitude adjustment would seem obvious.

I’d like to see the skies filled with vacationing aerial nomads.

Personally I’d love to see more LTA craft out there. I’m a fan of sailing and a personal dirigible appeals to that sense of “We’ll get there, eventually”

In fact, that’s the advertising campaign – An unfeasibly attractive couple and their 2.4 kids lounges on a sunbathing platform. Looks like they’re on a cruise ship. Camera pans up and out and they’re 1000 ft up, where the air is clear, sparkling seas beneath them.

We’ll get you there. Eventually.

It’s becoming easier and easier to be self-sufficient and go green while still maintaining a semblance of current lifestyle and luxury.

Regarding the Elon Musk Gigafactories: via Bloomberg The facility will also churn out stationary battery packs that can be paired with rooftop solar panels to store power. It’s becoming easier and easier to be self-sufficient and go green while still maintaining a semblance of current lifestyle and luxury. Related posts: Guns and Games: it’s a … Continue reading “It’s becoming easier and easier to be self-sufficient and go green while still maintaining a semblance of current lifestyle and luxury.”

Regarding the Elon Musk Gigafactories: via Bloomberg

The facility will also churn out stationary battery packs that can be paired with rooftop solar panels to store power.

It’s becoming easier and easier to be self-sufficient and go green while still maintaining a semblance of current lifestyle and luxury.

Problems new and unusual

We are embarked as pioneers upon a new science and industry in which our problems are so new and unusual that it behooves no one to dismiss any novel idea with the statement that ‘it can’t be done!’ – W E Boeing Snr An early electric racing car, La Jamais Contente, built by Camille Jenatzy. … Continue reading “Problems new and unusual”

We are embarked as pioneers upon a new science and industry in which our problems are so new and unusual that it behooves no one to dismiss any novel idea with the statement that ‘it can’t be done!’
– W E Boeing Snr

La Jamais Contente
An early electric racing car, La Jamais Contente, built by Camille Jenatzy. In the 1890s, electric cars were the ones to beat.

The Scottish Aviation Scamp is a small concept electric city car that was designed between 1964 and 1966 by Scottish Aviation.
The Scottish Aviation Scamp is a small concept electric city car that was designed between 1964 and 1966 by Scottish Aviation.
The Peel Trident was the second three-wheeled microcar made by the Peel Engineering Company on the Isle of Man. It was launched at the 1964 British motorcycle Show held at Earls Court.
The Peel Trident was the second three-wheeled microcar made by the Peel Engineering Company on the Isle of Man. It was launched at the 1964 British motorcycle Show held at Earls Court.
The Renault Twizy is a battery-powered two-passenger electric vehicle designed and marketed by Renault and manufactured entirely in Valladolid, Spain.
The Renault Twizy is a battery-powered two-passenger electric vehicle designed and marketed by Renault and manufactured entirely in Valladolid, Spain.